Upper gastrointestinal and hepatopancreaticobiliary surgery in New Zealand: Balancing the volume-outcome relationship with accessibility in a surgically low volume country.

INTRODUCTION: New Zealand has a population of only 5.5 million meaning that for many surgical procedures the country qualifies as a "low-volume center." However, the health system is well developed and required to provide complex surgical procedures that benchmark internationally against comparable countries. This investigation was undertaken to review regional variation and volumes of complex resection and palliative upper gastrointestinal (UGI) surgical procedures within New Zealand. METHODS: Data pertaining to patients undergoing complex resectional UGI procedures (esophagectomy, gastrectomy, pancreatectomy, and hepatectomies) and palliative UGI procedures (esophageal stenting, enteroenterostomy, biliary enteric anastomosis, and liver ablation) in a New Zealand hospital between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2019 were obtained from the National Minimum Dataset. RESULTS: New Zealand is a low-volume center for UGI surgery (229 hepatectomies, 250 gastrectomies, 126 pancreatectomies, and 74 esophagectomies annually). Over 80% of patients undergoing hepatic resection/ablation, gastrectomy, esophagectomy, and pancreatectomy are treated in one of the six national cancer centers (Auckland, Waikato, Mid-Central, Capital Coast, Canterbury, or Southern). There is evidence of the decreasing frequency of these procedures in small centers with increasing frequency in large centers suggesting that some regionalization is occurring. Palliative procedures were more widely performed. Indigenous Maori were less likely to be treated in a nationally designated cancer center than non-Maori. CONCLUSIONS: The challenge for New Zealand and similarly sized countries is to develop and implement a system that optimizes the skills and pathways that come from a frequent performance of complex surgery while maintaining system resilience and ensuring equitable access for all patients.

Does diabetes affect breast cancer survival?

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to investigate the influence of diabetes on breast cancer-specific survival among women with breast cancer in Aotearoa/New Zealand. METHODS: This study included women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer between 2005 and 2020, with their information documented in the Te Rehita Mate Utaetae-Breast Cancer Foundation National Register. Breast cancer survival curves for women with diabetes and those without diabetes were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The hazard ratio (HR) of breast cancer-specific mortality for women with diabetes compared to women without diabetes was estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: For women with diabetes, the 5-year and 10-year of cancer-specific survival were 87% (95% CI: 85%-88%) and 79% (95% CI: 76%-81%) compared to 89% (95% CI: 89%-90%) and 84% (95% CI: 83%-85%) for women without diabetes. The HR of cancer-specific mortality for patients with diabetes compared to those without diabetes was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.89-1.11) after adjustment for patient demographics, tumor characteristics, and treatments. Age at cancer diagnosis and cancer stage had the biggest impact on the survival difference between the two groups. When stratified by cancer stage, the cancer-specific mortality between the two groups was similar. CONCLUSIONS: While differences in survival have been identified for women with diabetes when compared to women without diabetes, these are attributable to age and the finding that women with diabetes tend to present with more advanced disease at diagnosis. We did not find any difference in survival between the two groups due to differences in treatment.

Access to and Timeliness of Lung Cancer Surgery, Radiation Therapy, and Systemic Therapy in New Zealand: A Universal Health Care Context.

PURPOSE: Lung cancer is the biggest cancer killer of indigenous peoples worldwide, including Maori people in New Zealand. There is some evidence of disparities in access to lung cancer treatment between Maori and non-Maori patients, but an examination of the depth and breadth of these disparities is needed. Here, we use national-level data to examine disparities in access to surgery, radiation therapy and systemic therapy between Maori and European patients, as well as timing of treatment relative to diagnosis. METHODS: We included all lung cancer registrations across New Zealand from 2007 to 2019 (N = 27,869) and compared access with treatment and the timing of treatment using national-level inpatient, outpatient, and pharmaceutical records. RESULTS: Maori patients with lung cancer appeared less likely to access surgery than European patients (Maori, 14%; European, 20%; adjusted odds ratio [adj OR], 0.82 [95% CI, 0.73 to 0.92]), including curative surgery (Maori, 10%; European, 16%; adj OR, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.62 to 0.84]). These differences were only partially explained by stage and comorbidity. There were no differences in access to radiation therapy or systemic therapy once adjusted for confounding by age. Although it appeared that there was a longer time from diagnosis to radiation therapy for Maori patients compared with European patients, this difference was small and requires further investigation. CONCLUSION: Our observation of differences in surgery rates between Maori and European patients with lung cancer who were not explained by stage of disease, tumor type, or comorbidity suggests that Maori patients who may be good candidates for surgery are missing out on this treatment to a greater extent than their European counterparts.

Cancer Screening Services: What Do Indigenous Communities Want? A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE: Indigenous communities experience worse cancer outcomes compared with the general population partly because of lower cancer screening access. One-size-fits-all screening programs are unsuitable for reaching Indigenous communities. In this review, we summarize available evidence on the perspectives of these communities; with a view to informing the improvement of cancer screening services to achieve equitable access. METHODS: We undertook a systematic review according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, using the databases MEDLINE, Scopus, PubMed, and Google Scholar. The search terms used were "Indigenous community or Indigenous communities," "cancer screening," and "facilitators, enablers, desires, or needs." Qualitative studies published up to the August 30, 2022 investigating the perspectives of Indigenous communities on factors encouraging screening participation were included in the study. The included studies were reviewed and analyzed inductively by two independent reviewers, and key themes regarding indigenous access to cancer screening were then extracted. RESULTS: A total of 204 unique articles were identified from the search. The title and abstracts of these studies were screened, and 164 were excluded on the basis of the exclusion and inclusion criteria. The full texts of the remaining 40 studies were examined and 18 were included in the review. Four key themes were identified pertaining to culturally tailored education and information dissemination, community involvement, positive relationships with health care providers, and individual empowerment and autonomy. CONCLUSION: Improvements, on the basis of the key themes identified from this review, must be made at all levels of the health care system to achieve equitable screening participation in Indigenous communities. However, we recommend an investigation into the perspectives of the local Indigenous communities before the initiation of cancer screening programs.

Equity of travel to access surgery and radiation therapy for lung cancer in New Zealand.

PURPOSE: Centralisation of lung cancer treatment can improve outcomes, but may result in differential access to care for those who do not reside within treatment centres. METHODS: We used national-level cancer registration and health care access data and used Geographic Information Systems (GIS) methods to determine the distance and time to access first relevant surgery and first radiation therapy among all New Zealanders diagnosed with lung cancer (2007-2019; N = 27,869), and compared these outcomes between ethnic groups. We also explored the likelihood of being treated at a high-, medium-, or low-volume hospital. Analysis involved both descriptive and adjusted logistic regression modelling. RESULTS: We found that Maori tend to need to travel further (with longer travel times) to access both surgery (median travel distance: Maori 57 km, European 34 km) and radiation therapy (Maori 75 km, European 35 km) than Europeans. Maori have greater odds of living more than 200 km away from both surgery (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.83, 95% CI 1.49-2.25) and radiation therapy (aOR 1.41, 95% CI 1.25-1.60). CONCLUSIONS: Centralisation of care may often improve treatment outcomes, but it also makes accessing treatment even more difficult for populations who are more likely to live rurally and in deprivation, such as Maori.

The growing cancer burden: Age-period-cohort projections in Aotearoa New Zealand 2020-2044.

BACKGROUND: Cancer is a major cause of premature death and inequity, and global case numbers are rapidly expanding. This study projects future cancer numbers and incidence rates in Aotearoa New Zealand. METHODS: Age-period-cohort modelling was applied to 25-years of national data to project cancer cases and incidence trends from 2020 to 2044. Nationally mandated cancer registry data and official historical and projected population estimates were used, with sub-groups by age, sex, and ethnicity. RESULTS: Cancer diagnoses were projected to increase from 25,700 per year in 2015-2019 to 45,100 a year by 2040-44, a 76% increase (2.3% per annum). Across the same period, age-standardised cancer incidence increased by 9% (0.3% per annum) from 348 to 378 cancers per 100,000 person years, with greater increases for males (11%) than females (6%). Projected incidence trends varied substantially by cancer type, with several projected to change faster or in the opposite direction compared to projections from other countries. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing cancer numbers reinforces the critical need for both cancer prevention and treatment service planning activities. Investment in developing new ways of working and increasing the workforce are required for the health system to be able to afford and manage the future burden of cancer.

Use of Novel National Data Sets to Monitor Chemotherapy Use and Outcomes: A Retrospective Cohort Study of Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer in Aotearoa New Zealand.

PURPOSE: Te Aho o Te Kahu, the New Zealand Cancer Control Agency, is establishing a systemic anticancer therapy (SACT) database (Anti-Cancer Therapy-Nationally Organized Workstream [ACT-NOW]) which can be linked to other national health data collections. In this article, we explore the application of ACT-NOW data in the monitoring of uptake and outcomes after the public funding of pemetrexed in Aotearoa New Zealand. METHODS: We used the ACT-NOW collection to identify patients with advanced nonsquamous non-small-cell lung cancer, who were treated with first-line platinum-based doublet chemotherapy over an 8-year period. Data were extracted for a period of 4 years before and 4 years after the national funding of pemetrexed (November 1, 2017). Treatments were classified as historical platinum doublet (cisplatin or carboplatin with gemcitabine, vinorelbine, paclitaxel, or docetaxel) or platinum pemetrexed doublet (cisplatin or carboplatin with pemetrexed). The primary outcome was the proportion of patients receiving each treatment type, before and after November 1, 2017. To prototype linkage to outcomes data, we evaluated hospitalization and 1-year overall survival (OS) rates by treatment. RESULTS: A total of 331 patients were included from four cancer centers. All patients (116 of 116) who were treated with first-line platinum-based doublet chemotherapy between November 2013 and November 2017 received historical platinum doublet chemotherapy. After the introduction of pemetrexed, between November 2017 and November 2021, 94% (203 of 215) were treated with platinum pemetrexed doublet chemotherapy and 6% (12 of 215) with historical platinum doublet chemotherapy. Linkage to outcomes data for 1-year OS, hospitalization rates, and lengths of stay outcome data were achievable. CONCLUSION: The ACT-NOW data set has the potential to facilitate evaluation of the impact of national-level SACT funding decisions on prescribing practice and specific patient outcomes. Our results support the use of these data to inform resource planning and quality improvement.

Cancer incidence, mortality and survival for Pacific Peoples in Aotearoa New Zealand.

AIMS: Pacific Peoples comprise over 16 culturally diverse ethnic groups and experience a disproportionate burden of preventable cancers, attributable to infectious diseases and obesity. This study aims to provide updated evidence on cancer incidence, mortality and survival rates among Pacific Peoples in Aotearoa New Zealand. METHODS: The study extracted incident cases of cancer diagnosed between 2007-2019 from the New Zealand Cancer Registry (NZCR) and linked them to the national Mortality Collection to determine individuals who died of cancer over the study period. The study also compared cancer survival rates between Pacific and European peoples in Aotearoa New Zealand. The most commonly diagnosed cancers and the most common causes of cancer death among Pacific Peoples were identified, and key findings were summarised. The European population was utilised as the comparator group for the analyses. The study employed a total ethnicity approach, wherein anyone with a record of Pacific ethnicity was classified as Total Pacific, regardless of other ethnicities. The age- and sex-standardised incidence and mortality rates were calculated, and 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates determined. We used Cox proportional-hazards models to compare survival outcomes between Pacific and European peoples. CONCLUSIONS: The study results revealed that Pacific Peoples in Aotearoa New Zealand experience higher cancer incidence and a lower survival rate for several cancers, including lung, liver and stomach cancers, when compared to the European population. This study underscores the need for intervention to reduce the burden of cancer among Pacific Peoples and improve cancer outcomes. This study's findings can inform planning and delivery of interventions to achieve equitable outcomes across the cancer continuum for Pacific Peoples in Aotearoa New Zealand.

Equity of Cancer and Diabetes Co-Occurrence: A National Study With 44 Million Person-Years of Follow-Up.

PURPOSE: The co-occurrence of diabetes and cancer is becoming increasingly common, and this is likely to compound existing inequities in outcomes from both conditions within populations. METHODS: In this study, we investigate the co-occurrence of cancer and diabetes by ethnic groups in New Zealand. National-level diabetes and cancer data on nearly five million individuals over 44 million person-years were used to describe the rate of cancer in a national prevalent cohort of peoples with diabetes versus those without diabetes, by ethnic group (Maori, Pacific, South Asian, Other Asian, and European peoples). RESULTS: The rate of cancer was greater for those with diabetes regardless of ethnic group (age-adjusted rate ratios, Maori, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.33 to 1.42; Pacific, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.28 to 1.43; South Asian, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.36; Other Asian, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.21 to 1.43; European, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.27 to 1.31). Maori had the highest rate of diabetes and cancer co-occurrence. Rates of GI, endocrine, and obesity-related cancers comprised a bulk of the excess cancers occurring among Maori and Pacific peoples with diabetes. CONCLUSION: Our observations reinforce the need for the primordial prevention of risk factors that are shared between diabetes and cancer. Also, the commonality of diabetes and cancer co-occurrence, particularly for Maori, reinforces the need for a multidisciplinary, joined-up approach to the detection and care of both conditions. Given the disproportionate burden of diabetes and those cancers that share risk factors with diabetes, action in these areas is likely to reduce ethnic inequities in outcomes from both conditions.

An online learning algorithm for adapting leg stiffness and stride angle for efficient quadruped robot trotting.

Animals adjust their leg stiffness and stride angle in response to changing ground conditions and gait parameters, resulting in improved stability and reduced energy consumption. This paper presents an online learning algorithm that attempts to mimic such animal behavior by maximizing energy efficiency on the fly or equivalently, minimizing the cost of transport of legged robots by adaptively changing the leg stiffness and stride angle while the robot is traversing on grounds with unknown characteristics. The algorithm employs an approximate stochastic gradient method to change the parameters in real-time, and has the following advantages: (1) the algorithm is computationally efficient and suitable for real-time operation; (2) it does not require training; (3) it is model-free, implying that precise modeling of the robot is not required for good performance; and (4) the algorithm is generally applicable and can be easily incorporated into a variety of legged robots with adaptable parameters and gaits beyond those implemented in this paper. Results of exhaustive performance assessment through numerical simulations and experiments on an under-actuated quadruped robot with compliant legs are included in the paper. The robot platform used a pneumatic piston in each leg as a variable, passive compliant element. Performance evaluation using simulations and experiments indicated that the algorithm was capable of converging to near-optimal values of the cost of transport for given operating conditions, terrain properties, and gait characteristics with no prior knowledge of the terrain and gait conditions. The simplicity of the algorithm and its demonstrably improved performance make the approach of this paper an excellent candidate for adaptively controlling tunable parameters of compliant, legged robots.

Impact of diabetes on surgery and radiotherapy for breast cancer.

PURPOSES: This study aims to examine whether diabetes has an impact on the use of surgery and adjuvant radiotherapy in treating women with localised breast cancer. METHODS: Women diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer between 2005 and 2020 were identified from Te Rehita Mate Utaetae-Breast Cancer Foundation New Zealand National Register, with diabetes status determined using New Zealand's Virtual Diabetes Register. The cancer treatments examined included breast conserving surgery (BCS), mastectomy, breast reconstruction after mastectomy, and adjuvant radiotherapy after BCS. Logistic regression modelling was used to estimate the adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of having cancer treatment and treatment delay (> 31 days) for patients with diabetes at the time of cancer diagnosis compared to patients without diabetes. RESULTS: We identified 25,557 women diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer in 2005-2020, including 2906 (11.4%) with diabetes. After adjustment for other factors, there was no significant difference overall in risk of women with diabetes having no surgery (OR 1.12, 95% CI 0.94-1.33), although for patients with stage I disease not having surgery was more likely (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.05-2.00) in the diabetes group. Patients with diabetes were more likely to have their surgery delayed (adjusted OR of 1.16, 95% CI 1.05-1.27) and less likely to have reconstruction after mastectomy compared to the non-diabetes group-adjusted OR 0.54 (95% CI 0.35-0.84) for stage I cancer, 0.50 (95% CI 0.34-0.75) for stage II and 0.48 (95% CI 0.24-1.00) for stage III cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes is associated with a lower likelihood of receiving surgery and a greater delay to surgery. Women with diabetes are also less likely to have breast reconstruction after mastectomy. These differences need to be taken in to account when considering factors that may impact on the outcomes of women with diabetes especially for Maori, Pacific and Asian women.

Emergency presentation prior to lung cancer diagnosis: A national-level examination of disparities and survival outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: A recent multinational investigation of emergency presentation within 30 days of cancer diagnosis, conducted within the International Cancer Benchmarking Programme (ICBP), observed that New Zealand had the highest rate of emergency presentation prior to lung cancer diagnosis compared to other similar countries. Here we use national-level health data to further investigate these trends, focussing on ethnic disparities in emergency presentation prior to lung cancer diagnosis. We have also compared survival outcomes between those who had an emergency presentation in the preceding 30 days to those who did not. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Our study included all lung cancer registrations between 2007 and 2019 on the New Zealand Cancer Registry (N = 27,869), linked to national hospitalisation and primary healthcare data. We used descriptive (crude and age-standardised proportions) and logistic regression (crude and adjusted odds ratios) analyses to examine primary care access prior to cancer diagnosis, emergency hospitalisation up to and including 30 days prior to diagnosis, and one-year mortality post-diagnosis, both for the total population and between ethnicities. Regression models adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, rurality, comorbidity, tumour type and stage. RESULTS: We found stark disparities by ethnic group, with 62% of Pacific peoples and 54% of Maori having an emergency presentation within 30 days prior to diagnosis, compared to 47% of Europeans. These disparities remained after adjusting for multiple covariates including comorbidity and deprivation (adj. OR: Maori 1.21, 95% CI 1.13-1.30; Pacific 1.50, 95% CI 1.31-1.71). Emergency presentation was associated with substantially poorer survival outcomes across ethnic groups (e.g. 1-year mortality for Maori: no emergency presentation 50%, emergency presentation 79%; adj. OR 2.40, 95% CI 2.10-2.74). CONCLUSIONS: These observations reinforce the need for improvements in the early detection of lung cancer, particularly for Maori and Pacific populations, with a view to preventing diagnosis of these cancers in an emergency setting.

"Failure to Rescue" following Colorectal Cancer Resection: Variation and Improvements in a National Study of Postoperative Mortality.

OBJECTIVE: To examine variation in "failure to rescue" (FTR) as a driver of differences in mortality between centres and over time for patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery. BACKGROUND: Wide variation exists in postoperative mortality following colorectal cancer surgery. FTR has been identified as an important determinant of variation in postoperative outcomes. We hypothesized that differences in mortality both between hospitals and over time are driven by variation in FTR. METHODS: A national population-based study of patients undergoing colorectal cancer resection from 2010 to 2019 in Aotearoa New Zealand was conducted. Rates of 90-day FTR, mortality, and complications were calculated overall, and for surgical and nonoperative complications. Twenty District Health Boards (DHBs) were ranked into quartiles using risk- and reliability-adjusted 90-day mortality rates. Variation between DHBs and trends over the 10-year period were examined. RESULTS: Overall, 15,686 patients undergoing resection for colorectal adenocarcinoma were included. Increased postoperative mortality at high-mortality centers (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.8-3.3) was driven by higher rates of FTR (OR 2.0, 95% CI 1.5-2.8), and postoperative complications (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.3-1.6). These trends were consistent across operative and nonoperative complications. Over the 2010 to 2019 period, postoperative mortality halved (OR 0.5, 95% CI 0.4-0.6), associated with a greater improvement in FTR (OR 0.5, 95% CI 0.4-0.7) than complications (OR 0.8, 95% CI 0.8-0.9). Differences between centers and over time remained when only analyzing patients undergoing elective surgery. CONCLUSION: Mortality following colorectal cancer resection has halved over the past decade, predominantly driven by improvements in "rescue" from complications. Differences in FTR also drive hospital-level variation in mortality, highlighting the central importance of "rescue" as a target for surgical quality improvement.

Driving quality improvement through better data: The story of New Zealand's radiation oncology collection.

Aotearoa/New Zealand is one of the first nations in the world to develop a comprehensive, high-quality collection of radiation therapy data (the Radiation Oncology Collection, ROC) that is able to report on treatment delivery by health region, patient demographics and service provider. This has been guided by radiation therapy leaders, who have been instrumental in overseeing the establishment of clear and robust data definitions, a centralised database and outputs delivered via an online tool. In this paper, we detail the development of the ROC, provide examples of variation in practice identified from the ROC and how these changed over time, then consider the ramifications of the ROC in the wider context of cancer care quality improvement. In addition to a review of relevant literature, primary data were sourced from the ROC on radiation therapy provided nationally in New Zealand between 2017 and 2020. The total intervention rate, number of fractions and doses are reported for select cancers by way of examples of national variation in practice. Results from the ROC have highlighted areas of treatment variation and have prompted increased uptake of hypofractionation for curative prostate and breast cancer treatment and for palliation of bone metastases. Future development of the ROC will increase its use for quality improvement and ultimately link to a real time cancer services database.

Association of diabetes and breast cancer characteristics at diagnosis.

PURPOSE: This study aims to examine the association of diabetes and breast cancer characteristics at diagnosis in Aotearoa/New Zealand. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with invasive breast cancer between 2005 and 2020 were identified from the National Breast Cancer Register. Logistic regression modeling was used to estimate the adjusted odds ratio (OR) of having stage III-IV cancer and the OR of having stage IV cancer for women with diabetes compared to those without diabetes. The adjusted OR of having screen-detected breast cancers for patients aged 45-69 years with diabetes compared to patients without diabetes was estimated. RESULTS: 26,968 women were diagnosed with breast cancer, with 3,137 (11.6%) patients having diabetes at the time of cancer diagnosis. The probability of co-occurrence of diabetes and breast cancer increased with time. Maori, Pacific and Asian women were more likely to have diabetes than European/Others. The probability of having diabetes also increased with age. For patients with diabetes, the probability of being diagnosed with stage III-IV cancer and stage IV cancer was higher than for patients without diabetes (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.03-1.27; and 1.17, 95% CI 1.00-1.38). Women aged 45-69 years with diabetes were more likely to have screen-detected cancer than those without diabetes (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.02-1.26). CONCLUSIONS: The co-occurrence of diabetes and breast cancer is becoming more common. Overall there is a small but significant adverse impact of having advanced disease for women with diabetes that is found at the time of breast cancer diagnosis, and this may contribute to other inequities that occur in the treatment pathway that may impact on patient outcomes.

The past, present and future of liver cancer control for Maori.

Liver cancer is among the most commonly diagnosed and least-survivable cancers in New Zealand. There are stark disparities between the Indigenous Maori population in incidence of and mortality from liver cancer relative to non-Maori. In this review, we have summarised the key risk factors for liver cancer, and the key activities undertaken in New Zealand, over time, to control this disease, with a focus on how risk factors and interventions aimed at reducing them differentially impact Maori. We have conducted a narrative literature review. The disproportionate burden of liver cancer experienced by Maori is primarily driven by disparities in viral exposure to hepatitis B and C between ethnic groups. Efforts to control hepatitis-associated liver cancer in New Zealand have lacked national coordination, further driving disparities in liver cancer survival between Maori and NZ Europeans. A national primary care-based programme to detect and treat hepatitis B and C and to screen for liver cancer among high-risk patients, along with renewed effort to maximise hepatitis B vaccination rates, has the potential to substantially reduce the burden of hepatitis-associated liver cancer and address a significant health disparity between Maori and non-Maori.

Cancer and diabetes co-occurrence: A national study with 44 million person-years of follow-up.

The number of new cases of cancer is increasing each year, and rates of diabetes mellitus are also increasing dramatically over time. It is not an unusual occurrence for an individual to have both cancer and diabetes at the same time, given they are both individually common, and that one condition can increase the risk of the other. In this manuscript, we use national-level diabetes (Virtual Diabetes Register) and cancer (New Zealand Cancer Registry) data on nearly five million individuals over 44 million person-years of follow-up to examine the occurrence of cancer amongst a national prevalent cohort of patients with diabetes. We completed this analysis separately by cancer for the 24 most commonly diagnosed cancers in Aotearoa New Zealand, and then compared the occurrence of cancer among those with diabetes to those without diabetes. We found that the rate of cancer was highest amongst those with diabetes for 21 of the 24 most common cancers diagnosed over our study period, with excess risk among those with diabetes ranging between 11% (non-Hodgkin's lymphoma) and 236% (liver cancer). The cancers with the greatest difference in incidence between those with diabetes and those without diabetes tended to be within the endocrine or gastrointestinal system, and/or had a strong relationship with obesity. However, in an absolute sense, due to the volume of breast, colorectal and lung cancers, prevention of the more modest excess cancer risk among those with diabetes (16%, 22% and 48%, respectively) would lead to a substantial overall reduction in the total burden of cancer in the population. Our findings reinforce the fact that diabetes prevention activities are also cancer prevention activities, and must therefore be prioritised and resourced in tandem.

The long road to good care.

Nil.

Understanding disparities in post-operative mortality for Indigenous patients.

There is an urgent need for high-quality evidence regarding post-operative mortality among Indigenous peoples. Our group recently published a national audit of 4,000,000 procedures conducted between 2005-2017, which identified considerable disparities in post-operative mortality between Indigenous Maori and non-Indigenous New Zealanders. Understanding the primary drivers of these disparities-for Maori, but likely also other Indigenous populations worldwide-requires us to consider the multiple levels at which these drivers might arise. To that end, in this paper we breakdown these drivers in detail, conceptualising these drivers as operating in layers with each factor leading to the next. These layers include structural factors, care system factors, care process factors, care team factors and patient factors. Each of these factors are presented within a framework that can be used to begin to understand them - with a view to rousing action and inspiring intervention to address inequities in post-operative outcomes experienced by Indigenous peoples.

Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: A case-control study.

Background: Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) remain an inequitable cause of avoidable suffering and early death in many countries, including among Indigenous Maori and Pacific populations in New Zealand. There is a lack of robust evidence on interventions to prevent ARF. This study aimed to identify modifiable risk factors, with the goal of producing evidence to support policies and programs to decrease rates of ARF. Methods: A case-control study was undertaken in New Zealand using hospitalised, first episode ARF cases meeting a standard case-definition. Population controls (ratio of 3:1) were matched by age, ethnicity, socioeconomic deprivation, location, sex, and recruitment month. A comprehensive, pre-tested questionnaire was administered face-to-face by trained interviewers. Findings: The study included 124 cases and 372 controls. Multivariable analysis identified strong associations between ARF and household crowding (OR 3·88; 95%CI 1·68-8·98) and barriers to accessing primary health care (OR 2·07; 95% CI 1·08-4·00), as well as a high intake of sugar-sweetened beverages (OR 2·00; 1·13-3·54). There was a marked five-fold higher ARF risk for those with a family history of ARF (OR 4·97; 95% CI 2·53-9·77). ARF risk was elevated following self-reported skin infection (aOR 2·53; 1·44-4·42) and sore throat (aOR 2·33; 1·49-3·62). Interpretation: These globally relevant findings direct attention to the critical importance of household crowding and access to primary health care as strong modifiable causal factors in the development of ARF. They also support a greater focus on the role of managing skin infections in ARF prevention. Funding: This research was funded by the Health Research Council of New Zealand (HRC) Rheumatic Fever Research Partnership (supported by the New Zealand Ministry of Health, Te Puni Kokiri, Cure Kids, Heart Foundation, and HRC) award number 13/959.